Simulated 90 matches.

Fitted home advantage H = 1.134  (true 1.35)
Fitted rho = -0.12

Team strengths (att / def), sorted by attack:
  Strong FC        att=1.68 def=0.53   (true att=1.60 def=0.70)
  Good United      att=1.18 def=0.91   (true att=1.30 def=0.80)
  Mid City         att=1.04 def=0.94   (true att=1.00 def=1.00)
  Average Town     att=0.87 def=0.97   (true att=0.90 def=1.10)
  Poor Athletic    att=0.76 def=1.66   (true att=0.60 def=1.50)
  Weak Rovers      att=0.73 def=1.64   (true att=0.70 def=1.30)

Sample predictions:
  Strong FC (H) vs Poor Athletic (A): xG 3.16-0.40 | W/D/L 89%/9%/2% (sum=1.0000) | top 3-0
  Poor Athletic (H) vs Strong FC (A): xG 0.46-2.79 | W/D/L 3%/12%/85% (sum=1.0000) | top 0-2
  Mid City (H) vs Average Town (A): xG 1.15-0.82 | W/D/L 42%/34%/25% (sum=1.0000) | top 0-0
  Good United (H) vs Weak Rovers (A): xG 2.20-0.67 | W/D/L 71%/20%/9% (sum=1.0000) | top 2-0

Value example (Strong FC home vs Poor Athletic):
  model P(home)=0.893  de-vigged implied=0.724  edge=+0.169

ALL CHECKS PASSED